Moralo vs Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JER
0 - 1
MOR
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 1
CDD
52%
24%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 1
MOR
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
ARR
69%
19%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
CDD
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 0
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 1
AZU
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLI
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |