Montrouge vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
14º
12º
27
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
90% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
83% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
90% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 23 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
85% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
85% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
39% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
61% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 0
VTR
42%
22%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
MFC
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 5
BRE
33%
23%
43%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MAI
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 1
MFC
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEU
68%
17%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 1
SML
29%
23%
47%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IVR
2 - 1
BAS
34%
23%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 0
SAR
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |