Cup . 1/32
Global 1-1
Montrose vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
KHE
0 - 0
MON
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FAL
0 - 1
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ALL
2 - 2
MON
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
COV
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PET
0 - 0
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
KHE
0 - 0
MON
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
KHE
2 - 0
STE
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
KHE
1 - 0
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CWB
0 - 1
KHE
13%
20%
67%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
KHE
1 - 1
STI
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |