Montrose vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
PET
1 - 1
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MON
4 - 0
DUM
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AIR
0 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
COV
1 - 2
MON
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
PAR
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
COV
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 2
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PET
0 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 3
AIR
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |