Montrose vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ELG
1 - 0
MON
36%
26%
39%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MON
0 - 2
THE
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
BER
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
DUM
1 - 1
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
STE
1 - 3
MON
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 1
BLA
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
FOR
5 - 4
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 4
GLA
11%
20%
70%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 0
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |