Montrose vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MON
2 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ELG
2 - 1
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
STE
0 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
MON
0 - 1
EAS
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
STR
0 - 2
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
DUM
1 - 4
ELG
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
STR
2 - 0
DUM
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
STM
3 - 0
DUM
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
DUM
2 - 0
ALB
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
FOR
3 - 1
DUM
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |