Montrose vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
STJ
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
EAS
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 1
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
ELG
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
ARB
4 - 1
ROS
24%
23%
54%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 0
ELG
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
ALL
4 - 2
ARB
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
ARB
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 2
HOM
18%
23%
60%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |