CF Montréal vs Philadelphia Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
KCW
4 - 0
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
CFS
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
RBN
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PHU
1 - 1
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MON
0 - 2
SES
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PHU
0 - 0
HOD
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
RBN
2 - 1
PHU
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PHU
2 - 2
RSL
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CFS
2 - 2
PHU
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PHU
1 - 1
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |