CF Montréal vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 3
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
RSL
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
CFS
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
PHU
0 - 3
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
ORL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CFS
1 - 2
MIN
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CFS
1 - 3
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
CFS
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COC
3 - 1
CFS
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CFS
4 - 1
NER
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |