French League U19 Group D Round 18

Montpellier U19 vs Toulouse U19 analysis

Montpellier U19 Toulouse U19
41 ELO 40
-6.2% Tilt -9.4%
6685º General ELO ranking 7103º
170º Country ELO ranking 194º
ELO win probability
46.6%
Montpellier U19
24.5%
Draw
28.9%
Toulouse U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
Montpellier U19
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.9%
Win probability
Toulouse U19
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montpellier U19
-2%
+19%
Toulouse U19

Points and table prediction

Montpellier U19
Their league position
Toulouse U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Saint-Etienne U19
54
54
100%
Olympique Marseille U19
53
53
100%
Toulouse U19
49
52
90.5%
Montpellier U19
47
50
90.5%
Nice U19
46
46
100%
Ajaccio U19
41
41
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
38
38
100%
Monaco U19
32
35
92.5%
Colomiers U19
33
33
92.5%
Olympique Rovenain U19
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Air Bel U19
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Rodez U19
12º
20
20
12º
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Ghisonaccia Prunelli U19
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montpellier U19
Toulouse U19
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Montpellier U19
Toulouse U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montpellier U19
Montpellier U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2025
AJA
Ajaccio U19
1 - 2
Montpellier U19
MON
27%
24%
49%
41 33 8 0
19 Jan. 2025
MON
Montpellier U19
2 - 1
Ghisonaccia Prunelli U19
ASG
79%
13%
8%
41 16 25 0
08 Dec. 2024
ORO
Olympique Rovenain U19
2 - 2
Montpellier U19
MON
19%
20%
61%
41 21 20 0
30 Nov. 2024
MON
Montpellier U19
1 - 0
Colomiers U19
COL
82%
13%
6%
41 22 19 0
23 Nov. 2024
MON
Montpellier U19
1 - 1
Air Bel U19
ABE
66%
18%
16%
41 29 12 0

Matches

Toulouse U19
Toulouse U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2025
TOU
Toulouse U19
3 - 1
Air Bel U19
ABE
64%
18%
17%
39 30 9 0
19 Jan. 2025
MGG
Marignane Gignac U19
0 - 4
Toulouse U19
TOU
25%
21%
54%
38 27 11 +1
08 Dec. 2024
TOU
Toulouse U19
4 - 2
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
AJA
61%
20%
19%
37 31 6 +1
01 Dec. 2024
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
2 - 2
Toulouse U19
TOU
51%
22%
27%
37 38 1 0
24 Nov. 2024
TOU
Toulouse U19
1 - 0
Nice U19
NIC
52%
22%
26%
36 34 2 +1