Ligue 2 round 1

Montpellier vs Troyes analysis

Montpellier Troyes
74 ELO 74
-6.4% Tilt 8%
329º General ELO ranking 1493º
13º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
47%
Montpellier
26.3%
Draw
26.7%
Troyes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
Montpellier
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.7%
Win probability
Troyes
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montpellier
-8%
-15%
Troyes

ELO progression

Montpellier
Troyes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montpellier
Montpellier
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2004
REN
Stade Rennais
4 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
62%
21%
17%
76 83 7 0
15 May. 2004
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 2
Strasbourg
STR
41%
27%
32%
76 80 4 0
12 May. 2004
MAR
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
63%
21%
16%
76 86 10 0
08 May. 2004
MPL
Montpellier
2 - 2
Nice
NIC
40%
28%
32%
76 80 4 0
01 May. 2004
SOC
Sochaux
3 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
67%
19%
14%
76 87 11 0

Matches

Troyes
Troyes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2004
CAE
Caen
3 - 0
Troyes
TRO
47%
26%
28%
75 75 0 0
16 May. 2004
TRO
Troyes
3 - 0
FC Rouen 1899
FCR
69%
20%
10%
75 60 15 0
13 May. 2004
BRC
Besancon RC
0 - 1
Troyes
TRO
29%
27%
44%
75 64 11 0
10 May. 2004
TRO
Troyes
3 - 3
Lorient
LOR
42%
27%
31%
75 76 1 0
01 May. 2004
SED
CS Sedan
3 - 0
Troyes
TRO
50%
25%
25%
75 77 2 0