Ligue 1 . Jor. 15

Montpellier vs Lens analysis

Montpellier Lens
78 ELO 86
8.1% Tilt 7.8%
383º General ELO ranking 109º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.4%
Montpellier
25.7%
Draw
41%
Lens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
Montpellier
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41%
Win probability
Lens
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montpellier
-2%
-2%
Lens

Points and table prediction

Montpellier
Their league position
Lens
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
15º
13º
43
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSG
63
76
99.5%
Monaco
52
63
64.5%
Stade Brestois
54
61
43%
Lille
49
60
45.5%
Nice
44
52
35%
Lens
43
51
27.5%
Olympique Marseille
39
50
24.5%
Stade Rennais
39
49
21%
Stade de Reims
40
47
27%
Olympique Lyonnais
10º
39
46
10º
28.5%
Toulouse
11º
36
43
11º
29.5%
Strasbourg
12º
36
43
12º
28.5%
Montpellier
13º
33
41
13º
45.5%
Nantes
14º
31
35
14º
47.5%
Le Havre
15º
28
32
15º
26%
Lorient
16º
26
31
16º
28%
Metz
17º
26
30
17º
48%
Clermont
18º
22
26
18º
79%
Expected probabilities
Montpellier
Lens
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 3.5%
Europa League
0% 29%
Conference League knock out round
0% 27.5%
Mid-table
100% 40%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Montpellier
Lens
Clermont
Olympique Marseille
Stade de Reims
Nantes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montpellier
Montpellier
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2023
MON
Monaco
2 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
63%
20%
17%
78 85 7 0
29 Nov. 2023
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 1
Clermont
CLE
57%
23%
20%
78 74 4 0
26 Nov. 2023
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 3
Stade Brestois
BRE
55%
23%
22%
78 76 2 0
10 Nov. 2023
MPL
Montpellier
0 - 0
Nice
NIC
40%
26%
34%
78 84 6 0
03 Nov. 2023
PSG
PSG
3 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
76%
15%
9%
78 90 12 0

Matches

Lens
Lens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2023
LEN
Lens
3 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
49%
24%
27%
85 83 2 0
29 Nov. 2023
ARS
Arsenal
6 - 0
Lens
LEN
87%
9%
3%
85 97 12 0
25 Nov. 2023
CLE
Clermont
0 - 3
Lens
LEN
26%
27%
48%
85 74 11 0
12 Nov. 2023
LEN
Lens
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
44%
25%
31%
84 85 1 +1
08 Nov. 2023
PSV
PSV
1 - 0
Lens
LEN
68%
18%
14%
84 89 5 0
X