Montluçon vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montluçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LPF
1 - 2
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
LIM
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 0
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
RVA
14%
18%
68%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
HAL
2 - 0
MON
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
AUR
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 0
RVA
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +4 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 2
USS
68%
17%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 1
VAU
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HAL
2 - 1
AUR
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |