Montevideo Wanderers vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
MWA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MWA
1 - 0
JUN
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
FEN
4 - 1
MWA
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 3
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 3
CER
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 0
BOS
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 4
SUD
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 1
ETS
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
RAC
2 - 3
SUD
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
SUD
2 - 3
PEÑ
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |