Montevideo Wanderers vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MWA
3 - 3
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
MWA
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CER
0 - 0
MWA
37%
26%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 3
MWA
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FEN
4 - 1
MWA
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 0
FEN
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
BVS
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 2
BVS
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
BVS
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
LFC
0 - 2
BVS
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |