Montevarchi Calcio vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PON
3 - 0
MON
41%
26%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
PES
19%
25%
56%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 1
MON
30%
27%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
ACD
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
REG
2 - 0
MON
62%
23%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SIE
0 - 2
REG
27%
28%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
IMO
0 - 0
SIE
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
TER
1 - 0
SIE
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SIE
3 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
TER
0 - 0
SIE
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |