Montevarchi Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
58.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
MON
68%
21%
12%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ACL
2 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
MON
0 - 2
VAR
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 2
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MON
0 - 2
COM
29%
28%
43%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 1
SIE
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ASL
2 - 1
SPA
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
PIS
1 - 3
ASL
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 0
USC
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 2
ASL
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |