Montevarchi Calcio vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
ANC
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MOD
2 - 0
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ACD
5 - 1
MON
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
PES
15%
24%
62%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 0
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
VIS
41%
28%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 0
FER
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
ASG
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |