Copa MX . Jor. 1

Monterrey vs Leones Negros analysis

Monterrey Leones Negros
85 ELO 64
9.1% Tilt -2.8%
229º General ELO ranking 1312º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
78.9%
Monterrey
14.8%
Draw
6.2%
Leones Negros

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
Monterrey
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.2%
Win probability
Leones Negros
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Monterrey
+11%
+16%
Leones Negros

ELO progression

Monterrey
Leones Negros
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monterrey
Monterrey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2019
AUR
Atl. San Luis
1 - 0
Monterrey
MON
13%
23%
64%
85 68 17 0
21 Jul. 2019
AME
América
4 - 2
Monterrey
MON
48%
25%
27%
85 85 0 0
14 Jul. 2019
UDG
Leones Negros
1 - 2
Monterrey
MON
20%
24%
56%
85 64 21 0
07 Jul. 2019
MON
Monterrey
0 - 1
León
LEO
59%
22%
19%
85 82 3 0
05 Jul. 2019
MON
Monterrey
1 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
62%
21%
18%
85 82 3 0

Matches

Leones Negros
Leones Negros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jul. 2019
FMA
Forward Madison
2 - 1
Leones Negros
UDG
14%
17%
69%
64 52 12 0
14 Jul. 2019
UDG
Leones Negros
1 - 2
Monterrey
MON
20%
24%
56%
64 85 21 0
30 Jun. 2019
DOR
Dorados
1 - 0
Leones Negros
UDG
45%
25%
30%
64 66 2 0
26 Jun. 2019
MOR
CA Morelia
2 - 3
Leones Negros
UDG
70%
18%
12%
64 75 11 0
22 Jun. 2019
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 0
Leones Negros
UDG
60%
24%
17%
64 75 11 0
X