Liga MX Apertura round 2

Monterrey vs Tijuana analysis

Monterrey Tijuana
84 ELO 71
9.3% Tilt -7%
309º General ELO ranking 657º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
73%
Monterrey
18%
Draw
9%
Tijuana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
Monterrey
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9%
Win probability
Tijuana
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Monterrey
+13%
+3%
Tijuana

ELO progression

Monterrey
Tijuana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monterrey
Monterrey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2011
JAG
Jaguares FC
1 - 4
Monterrey
MON
37%
27%
36%
84 78 6 0
08 May. 2011
PUM
Pumas UNAM
2 - 0
Monterrey
MON
45%
27%
28%
85 84 1 -1
06 May. 2011
MON
Monterrey
3 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
55%
24%
20%
84 84 0 +1
01 May. 2011
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
2 - 3
Monterrey
MON
43%
27%
30%
84 82 2 0
28 Apr. 2011
RSL
Real Salt Lake
0 - 1
Monterrey
MON
48%
26%
26%
84 82 2 0

Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jul. 2011
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 2
CA Morelia
MOR
25%
28%
47%
72 83 11 0
21 May. 2011
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 1
Irapuato
IRA
46%
26%
28%
71 70 1 +1
19 May. 2011
IRA
Irapuato
0 - 0
Tijuana
TIJ
45%
26%
29%
71 70 1 0
15 May. 2011
IRA
Irapuato
1 - 0
Tijuana
TIJ
41%
28%
32%
72 69 3 -1
11 May. 2011
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 1
Irapuato
IRA
49%
27%
24%
72 69 3 0