Liga MX Finals Ap. Eliminatorias. Last 16

Monterrey vs Puebla analysis

Monterrey Puebla
84 ELO 72
6.8% Tilt -2.8%
230º General ELO ranking 938º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
73.7%
Monterrey
17.1%
Draw
9.3%
Puebla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
Monterrey
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.3%
Win probability
Puebla
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Monterrey
+18%
-22%
Puebla

ELO progression

Monterrey
Puebla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monterrey
Monterrey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2020
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
3 - 1
Monterrey
MON
26%
26%
49%
84 76 8 0
05 Nov. 2020
MON
Monterrey
1 - 1
Tijuana
TIJ
72%
18%
11%
84 73 11 0
01 Nov. 2020
MON
Monterrey
1 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
50%
24%
26%
84 84 0 0
25 Oct. 2020
MAZ
Mazatlán
1 - 2
Monterrey
MON
29%
24%
47%
84 72 12 0
22 Oct. 2020
TIJ
Tijuana
0 - 1
Monterrey
MON
26%
26%
48%
84 75 9 0

Matches

Puebla
Puebla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2020
PUE
Puebla
1 - 0
Atl. San Luis
AUR
57%
23%
20%
72 66 6 0
01 Nov. 2020
ATS
Atlas Guadalajara
0 - 1
Puebla
PUE
41%
28%
31%
71 69 2 +1
24 Oct. 2020
PUE
Puebla
1 - 2
León
LEO
18%
24%
58%
71 84 13 0
18 Oct. 2020
MON
Monterrey
3 - 1
Puebla
PUE
76%
16%
8%
72 84 12 -1
03 Oct. 2020
PUE
Puebla
0 - 2
Santos Laguna
SAN
30%
25%
45%
73 80 7 -1
X