Monterrey vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
LOB
1 - 2
MON
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
PUM
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 1
MON
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
AME
3 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
MER
0 - 3
MON
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
PAC
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ATS
0 - 1
MOR
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
NEC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
VER
2 - 2
MOR
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 2
MOR
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |