Montellano CD vs UD Marinaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+762%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montellano CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MON
4 - 1
FUT
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
ALJ
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
GIL
20%
21%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COR
2 - 3
MON
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
COR
1 - 2
MAR
13%
21%
66%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
UTR
64%
21%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 0
MAR
13%
22%
64%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 0
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |