Montegiorgio vs Porto D'Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 0
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 3
SFF
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
PIN
22%
25%
53%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
UST
2 - 1
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto D'Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 2
POR
67%
19%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
POR
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
MAT
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |