Montegiorgio vs Matese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability

1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
32%
Win probability

0.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-10%
+3%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
10º
16º
11º
49
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
20% | |
![]() |
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
20% | |
![]() |
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
20% | |
![]() |
11º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
20% | |
![]() |
12º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
20% | |
![]() |
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
![]() |
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
![]() |
17º
|
12 | 12 |
17º
|
100% | |
![]() |
18º
|
7 | 7 |
18º
|
0% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Champion | 0% | 0% |
Promotion playoffs | 0% | 0% |
Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
Relegation playoffs | 0% | 0% |
Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression

MON

MAT

VAS

REC

PIN

SSS
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO MON | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
![]() 0 - 1
![]() MON
47%
27%
26%
|
294 | 370 | 76 | +2 |
10 Apr. 2022 |
MON
![]() 0 - 0
![]() ASD
46%
27%
27%
|
294 | 304 | -10 | 0 |
03 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
![]() 1 - 0
![]() MON
41%
28%
31%
|
294 | 229 | -65 | -2 |
01 May. 2022 |
MON
![]() 2 - 0
![]() VAS
45%
27%
28%
|
294 | 293 | 1 | 0 |
27 Mar. 2022 |
FAN
![]() 1 - 1
![]() MON
50%
26%
24%
|
294 | 496 | 202 | 0 |
Matches
Matese

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO MAT | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 Apr. 2022 |
MAT
![]() 3 - 0
![]() PIN
47%
27%
26%
|
293 | 273 | 20 | +2 |
10 Apr. 2022 |
SSS
![]() 3 - 2
![]() MAT
51%
25%
23%
|
294 | 462 | 168 | -1 |
03 Apr. 2022 |
MAT
![]() 0 - 1
![]() UST
45%
27%
28%
|
296 | 301 | -5 | -1 |
30 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
![]() 1 - 0
![]() MAT
47%
27%
26%
|
297 | 367 | 70 | -1 |
26 Mar. 2022 |
MAT
![]() 1 - 1
![]() SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
296 | 252 | 44 | 0 |