Serie D Grupo C. Jor. 23

Montecchio Maggiore vs Montebelluna analysis

Montecchio Maggiore Montebelluna
26 ELO 30
-1.9% Tilt -1.6%
6734º General ELO ranking 6788º
223º Country ELO ranking 226º
ELO win probability
39.3%
Montecchio Maggiore
22.4%
Draw
38.4%
Montebelluna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
Montecchio Maggiore
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.4%
Win probability
Montebelluna
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montecchio Maggiore
+19%
+39%
Montebelluna

Points and table prediction

Montecchio Maggiore
Their league position
Montebelluna
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
18º
13º
31
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Legnago Salus
59
62
100%
Adriese
55
58
65.5%
Clodiense
55
56
72%
Luparense
52
53
38%
Virtus Bolzano
53
53
37%
Campodarsego
53
53
3.5%
AC Este
50
51
80.5%
Cjarlins Muzane
47
48
19.5%
Caldiero Terme
47
48
19.5%
Cartigliano
10º
45
48
10º
37.5%
Mestre
11º
43
44
11º
100%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
12º
40
43
12º
100%
Montecchio Maggiore
13º
38
39
13º
100%
ASD Torviscosa
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Villafranca
15º
34
34
15º
96.5%
Calcio Portogruaro-Summaga
16º
32
33
16º
85%
Montebelluna
17º
31
31
17º
85%
Levico
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montecchio Maggiore
Montebelluna
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 15%
Relegation
0% 85%

ELO progression

Montecchio Maggiore
Montebelluna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montecchio Maggiore
Montecchio Maggiore
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
CAM
Campodarsego
1 - 1
Montecchio Maggiore
MON
58%
21%
21%
26 33 7 0
29 Jan. 2023
MON
Montecchio Maggiore
0 - 1
Clodiense
CLO
22%
21%
57%
27 39 12 -1
22 Jan. 2023
SAN
Luparense
1 - 2
Montecchio Maggiore
MON
64%
19%
17%
26 34 8 +1
15 Jan. 2023
LEV
Levico
0 - 1
Montecchio Maggiore
MON
41%
24%
35%
25 28 3 +1
08 Jan. 2023
MON
Montecchio Maggiore
2 - 2
Virtus Bolzano
VIR
29%
23%
49%
24 34 10 +1

Matches

Montebelluna
Montebelluna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
MON
Montebelluna
1 - 0
Levico
LEV
51%
23%
26%
29 28 1 0
29 Jan. 2023
SAN
Luparense
1 - 0
Montebelluna
MON
53%
22%
25%
30 33 3 -1
22 Jan. 2023
MON
Montebelluna
0 - 0
Cjarlins Muzane
CJA
36%
24%
41%
30 34 4 0
15 Jan. 2023
CAL
Caldiero Terme
1 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
56%
22%
22%
29 36 7 +1
08 Jan. 2023
MON
Montebelluna
1 - 3
Legnago Salus
LEG
27%
23%
50%
31 40 9 -2
X