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Serie D. Group C, Matchday 17

Montebelluna Luparense
11 ELO 17
-22% Tilt 45%
9446º General ELO ranking 6945º
285º Country ELO ranking 258º
ELO win probability
24.6%
Montebelluna
25.9%
Draw
49.5%
Luparense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
Montebelluna
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.5%
Win probability
Luparense
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montebelluna
-5%
+24%
Luparense

Points and table prediction

Montebelluna
Their league position
Luparense
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
19º
19º
54
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Trento
81
81
100%
Arzignano Valchiampo
67
67
100%
Manzanese
66
66
100%
Clodiense
62
62
100%
Caldiero Terme
61
61
100%
Mestre
60
60
100%
Delta Porto Tolle
58
58
100%
Luparense
54
54
100%
Belluno
53
53
100%
Cjarlins Muzane
10º
52
52
10º
50%
Cartigliano
11º
52
52
11º
50%
Union San Giorgio Sedico
12º
49
49
13º
50%
Adriese
13º
49
49
12º
50%
Ambrosiana
14º
47
47
14º
100%
AC Este
15º
43
43
15º
100%
Campodarsego
16º
40
40
16º
100%
Union Feltre
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Virtus Bolzano
18º
38
38
18º
50%
Montebelluna
19º
38
38
19º
50%
Chions
20º
21
21
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montebelluna
Luparense
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
50% 0%
Relegation
50% 0%

ELO progression

Montebelluna
MON
Luparense
SAN
Adriese
SDA
Caldiero Terme
CAL
Manzanese
MZN
Mestre
MES
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montebelluna
Montebelluna
1%
X%
2%
ELO MON ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2020
MON
Montebelluna
2 - 1
Union Feltre
UNI
42%
28%
31%
159 275 -116 0
10 Feb. 2021
TRE
Trento
2 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
46%
27%
27%
157 155 -2 0
16 Dec. 2020
ACE
AC Este
1 - 0
Montebelluna
MON
47%
27%
26%
159 262 103 0
01 Nov. 2020
DEL
Delta Porto Tolle
1 - 0
Montebelluna
MON
51%
26%
23%
161 381 220 -1
28 Oct. 2020
CHI
Chions
0 - 2
Montebelluna
MON
49%
26%
25%
158 266 108 +2

Matches

Luparense
Luparense
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2021
SAN
Luparense
1 - 2
Trento
TRE
47%
27%
26%
234 155 79 0
23 Dec. 2020
BEL
Belluno
2 - 2
Luparense
SAN
47%
27%
26%
234 259 25 0
13 Dec. 2020
GSD
Ambrosiana
0 - 3
Luparense
SAN
45%
27%
28%
234 249 15 0
04 Nov. 2020
SAN
Luparense
2 - 1
AC Este
ACE
46%
27%
27%
232 263 -31 +1
31 Oct. 2020
CJA
Cjarlins Muzane
2 - 1
Luparense
SAN
46%
27%
27%
234 220 -14 -1