Montalegre vs Cerveira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 1
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
PED
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MON
3 - 2
VFC
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
VIA
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MER
2 - 0
CER
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
VFC
4 - 1
CER
42%
22%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CER
1 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
BRA
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIA
1 - 0
CER
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |