Montagnarde vs Lannion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
14º
14º
37
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 2
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
PON
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DIN
2 - 0
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
SPM
16%
19%
66%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CES
5 - 0
MON
57%
21%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LAN
4 - 0
BRE
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
LAN
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SBR
4 - 2
LAN
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAN
0 - 0
LOC
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 1
LAN
72%
19%
10%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |