Monopoli vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 3
MON
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PUT
2 - 2
MON
26%
24%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MON
4 - 0
SSE
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BRI
4 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 1
MAT
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 1
FRA
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 1
GEL
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 1
GRO
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PUT
1 - 3
GEL
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |