Monopoli U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
12º
45
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 82% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LAZ
5 - 0
MNP
59%
19%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MNP
0 - 2
CRO
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CRO
1 - 1
MNP
24%
20%
57%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 2
SAL
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TER
1 - 1
SPE
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 2
CCS
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ASC
4 - 2
SPE
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 1
SAL
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |