National Division round 10

Mondercange vs Swift Hesperange analysis

Mondercange Swift Hesperange
59 ELO 73
6% Tilt 15.5%
4104º General ELO ranking 1653º
31º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.2%
Mondercange
22.2%
Draw
60.6%
Swift Hesperange

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
Mondercange
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.6%
Win probability
Swift Hesperange
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mondercange
-36%
-2%
Swift Hesperange

Points and table prediction

Mondercange
Their league position
Swift Hesperange
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
13º
12º
77
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Swift Hesperange
77
77
100%
Progrès Niederkorn
70
70
100%
F91 Dudelange
67
67
100%
Union Titus Pétange
59
59
100%
Differdange 03
45
45
100%
US Mondorf
45
45
100%
Jeunesse d'Esch
43
43
0%
43
43
0%
Una Strassen
39
39
100%
Wiltz 71
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Victoria Rosport
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Mondercange
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Fola Esch
13º
26
26
13º
100%
Käerjéng 97
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Etzella Ettelbruck
15º
23
23
15º
100%
US Hostert
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mondercange
Swift Hesperange
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mondercange
Swift Hesperange
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mondercange
Mondercange
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2022
USH
US Hostert
0 - 0
Mondercange
MON
33%
24%
44%
59 52 7 0
09 Oct. 2022
MON
Mondercange
1 - 2
US Mondorf
USM
51%
25%
24%
60 57 3 -1
01 Oct. 2022
FCS
Stengefort
3 - 8
Mondercange
MON
4%
9%
88%
60 22 38 0
18 Sep. 2022
PRO
Progrès Niederkorn
4 - 0
Mondercange
MON
55%
23%
22%
61 67 6 -1
11 Sep. 2022
MON
Mondercange
0 - 0
Differdange 03
DIF
25%
25%
50%
61 70 9 0

Matches

Swift Hesperange
Swift Hesperange
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2022
SWI
Swift Hesperange
4 - 2
US Mondorf
USM
77%
15%
8%
72 58 14 0
09 Oct. 2022
DIF
Differdange 03
1 - 2
Swift Hesperange
SWI
38%
25%
37%
72 70 2 0
02 Oct. 2022
GRE
Green Boys
0 - 9
Swift Hesperange
SWI
4%
11%
85%
73 30 43 -1
18 Sep. 2022
SWI
Swift Hesperange
8 - 1
Fola Esch
FOL
54%
22%
24%
72 67 5 +1
10 Sep. 2022
ETZ
Etzella Ettelbruck
0 - 4
Swift Hesperange
SWI
14%
22%
64%
72 56 16 0