Monção vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
59.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
14º
12º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
1 - 0
MON
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VPE
0 - 2
MON
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
MER
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
MON
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 2
VPE
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TIR
2 - 1
MER
53%
23%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PED
1 - 2
TIR
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 1
AMA
36%
28%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
TIR
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |