Monaro Panthers vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
7º
5º
14
6º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 2
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
CAN
26%
21%
53%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
2 - 1
MON
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WWF
0 - 2
MON
14%
18%
69%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
GUN
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
TUG
3 - 4
COO
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
WWF
1 - 2
TUG
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 3
CAN
15%
17%
68%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
5 - 1
TUG
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 6
CAN
8%
14%
78%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |