Monagas vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 4
MON
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
DEP
53%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
TAC
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 0
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 1
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 2
CFC
29%
28%
42%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZUL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
UCV
1 - 0
CFC
21%
28%
51%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |