Ligue 1 round 30

Monaco vs Strasbourg analysis

Monaco Strasbourg
95 ELO 90
4.3% Tilt 18.7%
32º General ELO ranking 105º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
65.6%
Monaco
19.8%
Draw
14.5%
Strasbourg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
Monaco
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.5%
Win probability
Strasbourg
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Monaco
-6%
+14%
Strasbourg

Points and table prediction

Monaco
Their league position
Strasbourg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
58
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSG
84
84
100%
Olympique Marseille
65
65
100%
Monaco
61
61
100%
Nice
60
60
100%
Lille
60
60
100%
Olympique Lyonnais
57
57
0%
Strasbourg
58
57
0%
Lens
52
52
100%
Stade Brestois
50
50
100%
Toulouse
10º
42
42
10º
0%
Auxerre
11º
42
42
11º
0%
Stade Rennais
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Nantes
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Angers SCO
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Le Havre
16º
32
34
15º
100%
Stade de Reims
15º
33
33
16º
100%
Saint-Étienne
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Montpellier
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Monaco
Strasbourg
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Monaco
Strasbourg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monaco
Monaco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
MON
Monaco
3 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
48%
24%
28%
94 94 0 0
05 Apr. 2025
BRE
Stade Brestois
2 - 1
Monaco
MON
21%
23%
56%
94 89 5 0
29 Mar. 2025
MON
Monaco
2 - 1
Nice
NIC
59%
22%
19%
94 91 3 0
15 Mar. 2025
ANG
Angers SCO
0 - 2
Monaco
MON
13%
19%
68%
94 82 12 0
07 Mar. 2025
TFC
Toulouse
1 - 1
Monaco
MON
21%
22%
57%
94 88 6 0

Matches

Strasbourg
Strasbourg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
STR
Strasbourg
2 - 2
Nice
NIC
39%
26%
35%
89 91 2 0
06 Apr. 2025
REI
Stade de Reims
0 - 1
Strasbourg
STR
34%
26%
40%
89 87 2 0
28 Mar. 2025
STR
Strasbourg
4 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
26%
24%
50%
89 93 4 0
16 Mar. 2025
STR
Strasbourg
2 - 1
Toulouse
TFC
43%
25%
32%
88 89 1 +1
09 Mar. 2025
NAN
Nantes
0 - 1
Strasbourg
STR
29%
25%
46%
88 83 5 0