Monaco vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 2
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
STR
1 - 0
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PSG
0 - 2
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
LOR
66%
19%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GAZ
1 - 3
LIL
8%
18%
74%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
LIL
2 - 0
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 1
STR
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
LIL
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 4
LIL
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |