Monaco II vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 2
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
ROD
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
FCM
0 - 2
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
CAN
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
LEP
0 - 1
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 2
MON
42%
28%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
BEZ
36%
28%
37%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CON
4 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
GRE
26%
29%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |