Europa League . 1/16
Global 5-3
Molde FK vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
MFK
0 - 0
BOG
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
MFK
2 - 1
BBS
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
MFK
4 - 0
BRA
90%
8%
2%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MFK
5 - 0
S08
78%
14%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ODD
1 - 4
MFK
22%
22%
56%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 2
HOF
55%
22%
24%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
HOF
1 - 3
EIN
38%
23%
39%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BYM
4 - 1
HOF
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
HOF
3 - 0
KOL
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
HER
0 - 3
HOF
25%
22%
52%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |