European U21 Championship qualifying Round 10

Moldova U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis

Moldova U21 Lithuania U21
49 ELO 44
-15.9% Tilt -3.8%
6005º General ELO ranking 7114º
19º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
47.2%
Moldova U21
26.3%
Draw
26.6%
Lithuania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
Moldova U21
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.6%
Win probability
Lithuania U21
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Moldova U21
-11%
-20%
Lithuania U21

ELO progression

Moldova U21
Lithuania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Moldova U21
Moldova U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2013
MDA
Moldova U21
2 - 0
San Marino U21
SMR
66%
19%
14%
48 20 28 0
15 Oct. 2013
MDA
Moldova U21
1 - 0
Finland U21
FIN
24%
26%
50%
47 57 10 +1
10 Sep. 2013
MDA
Moldova U21
0 - 0
Wales U21
WAL
20%
24%
56%
47 59 12 0
05 Sep. 2013
ENG
England U21
1 - 0
Moldova U21
MDA
87%
10%
3%
47 81 34 0
11 Jun. 2013
SMR
San Marino U21
0 - 3
Moldova U21
MDA
27%
22%
52%
47 22 25 0

Matches

Lithuania U21
Lithuania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2013
ENG
England U21
5 - 0
Lithuania U21
LTU
88%
10%
2%
46 80 34 0
11 Oct. 2013
WAL
Wales U21
2 - 0
Lithuania U21
LTU
69%
19%
11%
46 59 13 0
05 Sep. 2013
LTU
Lithuania U21
0 - 1
Finland U21
FIN
24%
26%
50%
47 57 10 -1
14 Aug. 2013
SMR
San Marino U21
0 - 1
Lithuania U21
LTU
27%
22%
51%
47 20 27 0
11 Jun. 2013
FIN
Finland U21
2 - 2
Lithuania U21
LTU
57%
24%
19%
47 56 9 0