Copa Simón Bolívar . Last 16
Global 2-5
Mojocoya vs García Ágreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mojocoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
GAR
2 - 0
MFC
78%
16%
7%
|
24 | 61 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GAR
1 - 1
MFC
77%
16%
7%
|
24 | 61 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 2
GAR
11%
20%
70%
|
23 | 61 | 38 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 1
MFC
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 1
UNI
10%
18%
72%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
García Ágreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
GAR
2 - 0
MFC
78%
16%
7%
|
61 | 24 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GAR
1 - 1
MFC
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 24 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 2
GAR
11%
20%
70%
|
61 | 23 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 4
GAR
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GAR
2 - 2
QVM
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |