Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 1-5
Mogren vs Litex Lovech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
MOR
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 2
RUD
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
BUD
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
RUD
0 - 1
MOG
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
ZET
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 0
KAL
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 3
LOV
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
LOV
4 - 1
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
SSO
0 - 1
LOV
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LSO
2 - 0
LOV
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |