Mogren vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
GRB
2 - 4
MOG
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
MOG
0 - 6
FCK
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
FCK
6 - 0
MOG
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
MOG
4 - 0
HIB
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
HIB
0 - 2
MOG
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LOV
2 - 1
ZET
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LOV
0 - 0
DEC
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ZET
1 - 0
LOV
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
LOV
1 - 0
GRB
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
LOV
0 - 1
PET
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |