Moerse Boys vs Unitas 30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
51.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
15º
15º
36
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moerse Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 2
MOE
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 1
MOE
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 0
SIL
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RKZ
1 - 1
MOE
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 2
MEE
15%
19%
67%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Unitas 30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HVC
4 - 1
UNI
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
HOO
38%
21%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
ORI
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 1
UNI
68%
16%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 3
SIL
53%
21%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |