Moerse Boys vs Juliana 31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
61.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
15º
15º
50
1º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moerse Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LON
3 - 0
MOE
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOE
1 - 2
AWC
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EVV
3 - 1
MOE
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ORI
4 - 3
MOE
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MOE
4 - 3
HOO
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Juliana 31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
JUL
4 - 1
HOO
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 6
JUL
40%
21%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
JUL
1 - 3
VEN
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SIL
4 - 1
JUL
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
JUL
2 - 0
RKZ
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |