Moelven vs Funnefoss / Vormsund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
67%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moelven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BFO
1 - 1
MIL
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 2
FFK
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
OTT
3 - 1
MIL
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
MIL
5 - 1
KON
14%
19%
67%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 4
EID
8%
15%
78%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Funnefoss / Vormsund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
FVI
2 - 1
HAM
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
EID
8 - 1
FVI
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FVI
0 - 4
STB
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
FVI
1 - 0
AIL
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
TIL
6 - 1
FVI
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |