Modica vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
MOD
3 - 4
ACP
56%
23%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ASD
4 - 2
MOD
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 0
ASD
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 0
MOD
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 1
MIL
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
ASD
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ASD
3 - 1
NIS
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 0
ASD
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 1
FCR
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VIG
2 - 2
ASD
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |