Modena U19 vs Parma U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
60.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
9º
6º
69
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CIT
1 - 0
MOD
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 1
PAD
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 4
MOD
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MOD
0 - 2
VIC
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 0
BRE
23%
19%
58%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
ABL
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAR
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 2
PAR
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
CIT
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PAD
0 - 1
PAR
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |