Modena U19 vs Parma U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
66.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAM
10%
20%
70%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 1
MOD
74%
18%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 1
BOL
13%
22%
65%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
5 - 1
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 2
TOR
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
CES
59%
23%
19%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAR
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 2
PAR
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
GEN
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |