Modena Sub 17 vs Spezia Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
49.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+130%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
12º
13º
13
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PIS
3 - 0
MOD
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MOD
0 - 1
SAS
48%
22%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 0
MOD
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 6
GEN
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 1
VET
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -4 |
Matches
Spezia Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 1
PAR
51%
22%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 1
SPE
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 3
FIO
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 2
SPE
34%
24%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 2
SPE
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |